Monday, April 2, 2012

Austin Jackson, is the 3rd season the charm?

It doesn't seem too long ago when the infamous blockbuster deal between the Detroit Tigers, Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Yankees had happened. As to who won or lost the trade is still yet to be determined as in this 3 team deal the Detroit Tigers received CF Austin Jackson, left handed relief pitcher Phil Coke from the Yankees, relief pitcher Daniel Schlereth and SP Max Scherzer from the Diamondbacks. The Yankees received CF Curtis Granderson (also known as Grandy) from the Detroit Tigers and the Diamondbacks got SP Edwin Jackson from the Tigers and SP Ian Kennedy from the Yankees. Last season for the Yankees Curtis Granderson (selected starting CF for the All Star team) finished with a .262 batting average but also hit a whopping 41 homers good for 2nd in MLB only behind Bautista's 43, a career high in RBIs with 119 that season and finished 4th in MVP voting. Ian Kennedy had a breakout year as a SP for the Arizona Diamondbacks (who ended up winning the NL West last year under manager former Tiger Kirk Gibson) with 21 wins and only 4 losses with a 2.88 era yet only finished 4th in NL Cy Young voting.
Edwin Jackson has since floated from team to team from the White Sox to the Cardinals to now recently the Washington Nationals. As for our Tigers now, Max Scherzer won 15 games and only lost 9 but still recorded a ERA last season of 4.43. Now as for Austin Jackson's season he finished with a batting average of .249 down from his rookie average of .293 but his home runs went up from 4 in his rookie season to 10. That brings to speculation perhaps in his rookie season he was just hitting for contact and now he have been hitting for more power in his second season. Funny thing is a former Tigers CF by the name of Curtis Granderson (I think you see where i'm going here) wouldn't even hit as high as an average Jackson hit in his rookie season until his 4th season as a Tiger when he batted .302 and hit 23 homers.
The point here is if it took Granderson 4 seasons to get towards his prime then perhaps with the rookie season Jackson had there's a chance that his 2nd season might have just been a sophomore slump. One thing that hasn't changed for Jackson though these seasons is his fielding whether it'd be from robbing homers, triples and doubles to gunning runners down at the plate, and his ability to get on base and steal, stealing 22 times but only got caught 5 times last season. Not to mention again he did hit 6 more homers than he did in his rookie season and if we were to compare him to Granderson the way Granderson progressed in hitting home runs for the Tigers it should be a good sign. As Granderson didn't really become a full time starter till his 3rd season and went from 19 to 23 to 22 to 30 homers over those seasons, Jackson became a full time starter his rookie year. Another thing to consider right now is Austin Jackson is only 25 and still progressing as a MLB player, Granderson at age 31 is just now entering his prime.
With all this being said I'm willing to make a bold prediction that Jackson cuts down on his strikeouts and hits a career high 20 home runs this season, I believe his power his truly developing and we'll see it this season. So far he's batting .284 in Spring Training with 2 home runs and yes 20 strikeouts, however as Jhonny Peralta proved last season don't put too much stock into Spring Training as he had a .197 average in ST yet a .299 average in the regular season, funny how things can change. I've at times been wrong and I've at times been right for example I felt that Granderson playing in that new Yankee Stadium to his benefit could hit 40 homers if he stayed healthy all season he did, he hit 41. So at age 25, Tigers fans it's not time to give up on Jackson quite yet especially since he did have that one hot stretch in August, early September before Detroit went on to win their first AL Central division title. Anything is possible.

1 comment:

  1. FWIW, most players hit their prime around 28 years old.

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